SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Levadiakos had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Levadiakos win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levadiakos | Draw | AEK Athens |
29.83% ( 0.26) | 28.86% ( 0.16) | 41.31% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.13% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.43) | 62.2% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.11% ( -0.32) | 81.88% ( 0.32) |
| Levadiakos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.04) | 37.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.94% ( -0.03) | 74.05% ( 0.03) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.45) | 29.65% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.3% ( -0.55) | 65.69% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Levadiakos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 51 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 50 |
| 3 | PAOKPAOK | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 44 |
| 4 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | Volos | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 |
| 9 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 23 |
| 10 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
| 13 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | LamiaLamia | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | -30 | 12 |
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