SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
67.95% ( 0.02) | 16.71% ( -0) | 15.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.17% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.02) | 26.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.02) | 46.31% ( 0.02) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.88% ( -0) | 7.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.05% ( -0) | 25.95% ( -0) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.03) | 29.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.08% ( -0.04) | 65.92% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.21% 6-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 67.95% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.71% | 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 15.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 23 | 28 | 54 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 52 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Fulham | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 35 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 19 |
| 20 | Southampton | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 18 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
