Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Albania had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Albania	Draw	Spain
12.56% ( -0.24)	18.3% ( -0.06)	69.14% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.17% (

-0.32)

40.83% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

-0.33)

63.22% (

0.33)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.56% (

-0.58)

43.43% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.34% (

-0.49)

79.66% (

0.49)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

-0.01)

10.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.34% (

-0.03)

34.65% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Albania 12.56%

Spain 69.12%

Draw 18.3%

Albania	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.56%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.3%	0-2 @ 11.6% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.12% Total : 69.12%