SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Union SG | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Hammarby | 21 | 22 | 38 |
| 5 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 22 | 7 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Malmo |
47.66% ( -0) | 23.69% ( -0.05) | 28.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( 0.28) | 42.37% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( 0.28) | 64.78% ( -0.29) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.11) | 17.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.19% ( 0.19) | 48.81% ( -0.19) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.18) | 27.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.64% ( 0.23) | 63.36% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
