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Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL
Roma
vs.
Brighton
 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We say: Roma 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Roma have lost just one of their last 23 home games in the Europa League - winning no fewer than 17 - and they have been given a new lease of life under Daniele De Rossi. As Brighton are currently below their best, the Premier League side could find themselves one goal behind heading into next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 33.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result
RomaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
42.34% (0.247 0.25) 24.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.36% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 59.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)42.96% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)65.36% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.094000000000008 0.09)20.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.147 0.15)52.89% (-0.144 -0.14)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)25.06% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.224 -0.22)59.74% (0.227 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.34%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 33.36%
    Draw 24.29%
RomaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Feyenoord (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Frosinone 0-3 Roma
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Brighton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Brighton
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Everton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-5 Brighton
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Premier League

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