SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
46.23% ( 0.11) | 22.73% ( 0.01) | 31.03% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.63% ( -0.1) | 36.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( -0.11) | 58.5% ( 0.1) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0) | 16.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.31% ( 0.01) | 45.68% ( -0.01) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.12) | 23.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.83% ( -0.17) | 57.17% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Brentford | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Fulham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 5 |
| 19 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 4 |
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