Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 27.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Marseille win is 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).