SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Olympiacos |
40.29% ( -0.11) | 26.64% ( 0.04) | 33.07% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.16) | 53.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.14) | 74.82% ( 0.13) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.14) | 25.97% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.02% ( -0.18) | 60.98% ( 0.18) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.04) | 30.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.57% ( -0.05) | 66.43% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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