With more quality throughout their squad and home advantage on their side, we back Braga to gain the advantage in Portugal on Thursday before travelling to Baku for the second leg.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Qarabag FK win it is 1-2 (5.5%).