Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
32.28% ( -2.57) | 22.48% ( -0.18) | 45.25% ( 2.75) |
Both teams to score 65.93% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.48% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0.01) |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -1.34) | 21.65% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -2.09) | 54.78% ( 2.09) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.15% ( 1.06) | 15.85% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.95% ( 1.91) | 45.05% ( -1.91) |
Score Analysis |
AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.54% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.36) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.22) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 30 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 29 |
3 | Liverpool | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Aston Villa | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 22 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Chelsea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 15 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Fulham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 |
16 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
17 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
18 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 5 |
19 | Everton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
20 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 4 |
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