SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Lech Poznan |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.07) | 39.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( 0.32) | 48.91% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( 0.29) | 71% ( -0.29) |
| Vikingur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.17) | 26.82% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.88% ( 0.23) | 62.12% ( -0.23) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.17) | 24.6% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.89% ( 0.23) | 59.1% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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