Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.