SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Astana had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KF Ballkani | Draw | Astana |
64.38% ( -0.02) | 20.56% ( 0.01) | 15.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.03) | 45.41% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.03) | 67.75% ( 0.03) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.02) | 13.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.72% ( -0.03) | 40.27% ( 0.03) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.38% ( -0.01) | 42.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.03% ( -0) | 78.97% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| KF Ballkani | Draw | Astana |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 64.37% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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