SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Basel | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
45.11% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.04) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0.17) | 40.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% ( 0.18) | 62.98% ( -0.17) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.09) | 18.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.64% ( 0.15) | 49.36% ( -0.15) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.08) | 25.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.09% ( 0.11) | 59.91% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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