SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.99%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
78.99% ( -0.04) | 12.95% ( 0.02) | 8.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.06) | 28.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.1% ( -0.07) | 48.9% ( 0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.4% ( -0.02) | 5.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 78.25% ( -0.05) | 21.76% ( 0.05) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0) | 43.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.67% ( -0) | 79.33% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 4.88% Total : 78.99% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.16% Total : 12.95% | 1-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 8.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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