SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Santa Coloma | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
13.49% ( 0.12) | 20.22% ( 0.13) | 66.29% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( -0.28) | 47.15% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0.26) | 69.38% ( 0.26) |
| FC Santa Coloma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.01) | 45.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.31% ( 0.01) | 81.69% ( -0.01) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( -0.16) | 13.35% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.77% ( -0.32) | 40.23% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Santa Coloma | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.97% 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.49% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.22% | 0-2 @ 12.43% 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.35% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Brentford | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 1 |
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