SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | St Johnstone | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Dundee United |
57.3% ( -0.17) | 26.09% ( 0.07) | 16.62% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 38.04% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.09) | 62.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.57% ( -0.06) | 82.43% ( 0.06) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.3% ( -0.16) | 55.7% ( 0.16) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.93% ( 0.08) | 51.07% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.61% ( 0.05) | 85.39% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 17.07% 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 16.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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