Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)
Alashkert
1 - 1
Arsenal Tivat
Ustinov (66')
Carrillo (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Montenegro (23')
Maras (10'), Celebic (35'), Mirkovic (58')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Arsenal Tivat.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Arsenal Tivat had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Arsenal Tivat win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Alashkert FC | Draw | Arsenal Tivat |
71.16% ( 0.01) | 19.31% ( -0.01) | 9.52% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 37.32% ( 0.02) |
| 47.03% ( 0.03) | 52.97% ( -0.03) |
| 25.43% ( 0.02) | 74.57% ( -0.02) |
| 86.31% ( 0.01) | 13.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.1% ( 0.02) | 40.9% ( -0.02) |
| 43.23% ( 0.02) | 56.76% ( -0.02) |
