SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RKC Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 11.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Emmen |
72.46% ( 0.2) | 16.15% ( -0.1) | 11.39% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.23) | 33.48% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.72% ( 0.26) | 55.28% ( -0.27) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( 0.1) | 8.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.69% ( 0.25) | 28.31% ( -0.25) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0) | 40.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.94% ( 0) | 77.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 72.46% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 11.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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