Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
