Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
