SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
52.8% ( -0.13) | 23.24% ( 0.11) | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( -0.49) | 44.18% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( -0.48) | 66.56% ( 0.48) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( -0.23) | 16.72% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.37% ( -0.4) | 46.63% ( 0.4) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.26) | 32.32% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.17% ( -0.3) | 68.82% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 5 | 43 | 39 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Ajax | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 14 |
| 11 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 8 |
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