SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
30.92% ( 1.28) | 23.19% ( 0.27) | 45.88% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.58) | 38.67% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.02% ( -0.61) | 60.97% ( 0.61) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.11% ( 0.71) | 58.88% ( -0.71) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -0.81) | 17.22% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.48% ( -1.44) | 47.51% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.09% Total : 45.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Ajax | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 76 | 28 | 48 | 59 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 51 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 28 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
| 17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 16 |
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