Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw has a probability of 14.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 9.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.9%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 1-2 (2.92%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
75.37% ( 0.51) | 14.92% ( 0.04) | 9.71% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -2.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.42% ( -2.06) | 32.57% ( 2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.77% ( -2.43) | 54.23% ( 2.43) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.77% ( -0.37) | 7.23% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.78% ( -0.97) | 26.22% ( 0.97) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.11% ( -2.53) | 42.89% ( 2.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.8% ( -2.22) | 79.19% ( 2.22) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.75) 3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.3) 5-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.24) 6-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.51% Total : 75.36% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.92% | 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.97% Total : 9.71% |
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