AZ
3 - 1
Heerenveen
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 58.03% | 20.84% | 21.13% |
| Both teams to score 60.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
