Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Stabaek Football |
55.01% ( 0.04) | 22.47% ( -0.01) | 22.5% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( -0.01) | 42.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 64.72% ( 0.01) |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.7% ( 0.01) | 15.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.99% ( 0.02) | 44% ( -0.02) |
Stabaek Football Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( -0.04) | 32.56% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.05) | 69.09% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lillestrom | Draw | Stabaek Football |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 31 |
2 | SK BrannBrann | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Tromso ILTromso | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Viking FKViking FK | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 17 |
5 | Lillestrom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 17 |
6 | MoldeMolde | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
7 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Odd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
11 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
13 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
15 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 7 |
16 | Aalesund | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
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