Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
62.12% ( 0.01) | 21.19% ( 0) | 16.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% ( -0.02) | 45.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( -0.02) | 67.4% ( 0.02) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( -0) | 13.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( -0.01) | 41.4% ( 0.01) |
Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.74% ( -0.03) | 40.26% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.11% ( -0.03) | 76.89% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 62.11% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 43 |
3 | Aston Villa | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 40 |
6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 32 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
9 | Chelsea | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
10 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 29 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
13 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
17 | Everton | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Burnley | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 12 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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