SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Carlisle United | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Tranmere Rovers | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Walsall | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.32% ( 0) | 25.87% ( 0.01) | 36.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.03) | 49.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.03) | 71.63% ( 0.03) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.01) | 25.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.02) | 60.9% ( 0.02) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.02) | 26.2% ( 0.02) |
