Exeter City 5-3 Bristol Rovers - EFL Trophy Group Stage - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
43.96%	25.3%	30.74%

Both teams to score 55.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57%

48.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44%

70.56%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69%

55.31%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6%

29.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61%

65.38%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 43.96%

Bristol Rovers 30.74%

Draw 25.29%

Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.92% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74%