Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
35.8% ( -0) | 26.29% ( -0) | 37.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( 0.01) | 51.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.01) | 73.24% ( -0.01) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( 0) | 27.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% ( 0) | 63.19% ( -0.01) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( 0) | 26.42% ( -0.01) |