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ML
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
RL
Millwall
0 - 4
Reading

Leonard (25'), Saville (62'), Evans (85'), Bryan (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (1', 51'), Savage (67'), Camara (88')
Knibbs (10'), Camara (19'), Rushesha (39'), Carson (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Millwall 2-0 Reading

Millwall recorded a statement victory at Boro on Saturday and will return to The Den desperate to put on an exciting performance in front of their home faithful against League One opposition. Reading will be happy to see the back of their Berkshire home for a few days after four straight losses spanning over pre-season and their third-tier opener, but we cannot see Selles's men being successful in the capital on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawReading
55.97% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 24.39% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (0.028999999999996 0.03)53.7% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)75.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)19.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)50.68% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11%41.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.96%
    Reading 19.64%
    Draw 24.39%
MillwallDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Millwall
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 3-4 Blackburn
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Reading 0-2 QPR
Tuesday, July 25 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Reading 2-4 Southampton
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Reading
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
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20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2023151549-349
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