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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
PU
Mansfield
2 - 2
Peterborough
Mansfield win 3-1 on penalties
Swan (5' pen.), Akins (90+3' pen.)
Reed (29'), Flint (87')
FT
(aet)
Clarke-Harris (30', 46')
Collins (4'), Burrows (68'), Mason-Clark (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Mansfield Town 2-1 Peterborough United

Although Mansfield may be plying their trade in the league below, they demonstrated in their penalty-shootout win over Sheffield Wednesday that they can compete with teams in the higher divisions. Having won four of their five home matches this term, we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Peterborough on Tuesday. Read more.

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%).

Result
Mansfield TownDrawPeterborough United
51.29% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46) 22.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 26.01% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.48% (0.38999999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.315 0.31)39.75% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.328 0.33)62.1% (-0.328 -0.33)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)15.65% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)44.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.501 0.5)28.3% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (0.626 0.63)64.02% (-0.62599999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 51.29%
    Peterborough United 26.01%
    Draw 22.69%
Mansfield TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 26.01%

Read more!

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Read more!

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Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Bradford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Mansfield (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Stockport
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Peterborough (4-6 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
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