SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 21.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong AZ |
57.52% ( -0.06) | 21.2% ( 0.02) | 21.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.02) | 37.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.02) | 60.17% ( 0.02) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( -0.02) | 13.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.43% ( -0.05) | 39.57% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( 0.03) | 31.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.48% ( 0.04) | 67.52% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 35 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 92 | 37 | 55 | 79 |
| P | Heracles | 35 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 95 | 41 | 54 | 76 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 66 |
| 4 | Willem II | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 56 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 56 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 51 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | TelstarTelstar | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 49 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Roda JC | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 39 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 35 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 35 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 61 | -29 | 26 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
