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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Helmond Sport |
75.9% ( -0.37) | 14.83% ( 0.15) | 9.26% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.02) | 33.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.52% ( -0.02) | 55.48% ( 0.01) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.63% ( -0.08) | 7.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.41% ( -0.2) | 26.58% ( 0.2) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( 0.45) | 44.55% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.42% ( 0.36) | 80.57% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 75.9% | 1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 14.83% | 1-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
| 2 | Roda JC | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 34 |
| 4 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 33 |
| 5 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 6 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Cambuur | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 30 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 14 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 11 |
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