SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Jong PSV in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
58.64% ( -0.63) | 21.12% ( 0.01) | 20.23% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( 0.85) | 39.06% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.61% ( 0.89) | 61.38% ( -0.88) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( 0.09) | 13.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.35% ( 0.18) | 39.65% ( -0.18) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 1.11) | 32.83% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.6% ( 1.21) | 69.4% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.3)1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.64% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Heracles | 28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 60 |
| 3 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 51 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 49 |
| 5 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Roda JC | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | TelstarTelstar | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 31 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 30 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 20 |
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