Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.