SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 58.3%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Den Bosch |
58.3% ( -0.65) | 20.46% ( 0.22) | 21.23% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.48) | 34.45% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.63% ( -0.53) | 56.37% ( 0.53) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( -0.32) | 11.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.2% ( -0.7) | 36.8% ( 0.7) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.11) | 29.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.81% ( 0.13) | 65.19% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.3% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 21.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Willem II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | TelstarTelstar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 6 |
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