Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Den Bosch in this match.
