MX23RW : Thursday, February 23 00:29:21
SM
Man Utd vs. Barcelona: 19 hrs 30 mins
Jul 7, 2022 at 11.15pm UK at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Lanus
0 - 0
Independiente

Almiron (17'), Loaiza (73'), Belmonte (86')
FT

Segovia (26'), Chavez (45+3')
Bauman (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Lanus 1-1 Independiente del Valle

Lanus have not been able to settle into a consistent rhythm throughout the year, and their opening leg of this encounter showed their vulnerabilities. While the team from Ecuador never seem to make it easy on themselves, we expect them to do enough to earn a result and advance to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
51.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.8%23.58% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)51.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)72.98% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)19.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)36.46% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)73.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.61%
    Independiente del Valle 23.58%
    Draw 24.8%
LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Colon
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Lanus
Wednesday, June 15 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, April 27 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Tolima
Thursday, April 14 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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