SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cobresal win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cobresal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cobresal | Draw | Palestino |
50.25% ( -0.2) | 24.13% ( 0.08) | 25.63% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( -0.23) | 46.53% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( -0.21) | 68.8% ( 0.22) |
| Cobresal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -0.16) | 18.56% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.19% ( -0.28) | 49.81% ( 0.28) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.31% ( -0.02) | 68.69% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cobresal | Draw | Palestino |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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