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England U21s vs. Germany U21s: 16 hrs 57 mins
AP
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Alinja Arena
Athletico PR
1 - 0
Alianza Lima
Bueno (8')
Ivaldo (35')
HT

Miguez (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Alianza Lima

Both sides are expected to be assertive in this game, but Athletico's superior technical quality and home form should give them the edge over Alianza. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw has a probability of 17.4% and a win for Alianza Lima has a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.06%), while for an Alianza Lima win it is 0-1 (3.72%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAlianza Lima
74.07% (0.16 0.16) 17.4% (-0.084 -0.08) 8.53% (-0.071 -0.07)
Both teams to score 38.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.134 0.13)48.26% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.122 0.12)70.41% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)11.46% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.7% (0.176 0.18)36.3% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.98% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)56.02% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.52% (-0.045 -0.04)88.48% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 74.06%
    Alianza Lima 8.53%
    Draw 17.4%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAlianza Lima
2-0 @ 15.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.89% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 74.06%
1-1 @ 8.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 17.4%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 8.53%

Read more!

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Corinthians
Saturday, June 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 11 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Libertad
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, June 3 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-2 Libertad
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-0 Athletico PR
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 8-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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