SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.56%).
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 54.68% | 23.78% | 21.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% | 49.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% | 71.13% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% | 17.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.44% | 48.56% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.76% | 37.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.98% | 74.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.56% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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