SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
29.62% ( -2) | 26.05% ( -0.19) | 44.32% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.02) | 52.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( -0.02) | 73.79% ( 0.02) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( -1.43) | 32.03% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.5% ( -1.65) | 68.5% ( 1.65) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( 1.07) | 23.39% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.63% ( 1.53) | 57.36% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.62% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 25 | 37 | 66 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 16 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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