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Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre
Barakaldo
0 - 0
Malaga
Malaga win 4-2 on penalties

O. (20'), Gaztanaga (87'), Gaztanaga Arrospide (88'), Salado (117')
FT
(aet)

Rodriguez (3'), Murillo (61'), Abaida (62')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Barakaldo and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barakaldo 0-0 Villarrubia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 69.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 1-0 (4.65%).

Result
BarakaldoDrawMalaga
10.92% (-0.221 -0.22) 19.87% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 69.2% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Both teams to score 40.41% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.228 -0.23)51.58% (0.226 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.197 -0.2)73.37% (0.196 0.2)
Barakaldo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.9% (-0.55 -0.55)53.09% (0.547 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.29% (-0.351 -0.35)86.71% (0.35000000000001 0.35)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.84% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (0.037000000000006 0.04)41.22% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Barakaldo 10.93%
    Malaga 69.19%
    Draw 19.87%
BarakaldoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 4.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.93%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 14.53% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 14.36% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 9.47% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 69.19%

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Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

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Form Guide
Last Game: Barakaldo 0-0 Villarrubia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barakaldo 1-1 Mutilvera (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, September 5 at 7.15pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Barakaldo
Wednesday, December 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barakaldo 1-3 Valencia
Wednesday, December 2 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barakaldo 0-1 Real Madrid Castilla
Sunday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Segunda B
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Malaga
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 2-0 Mirandes
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 2-0 Malaga
Sunday, May 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 0-0 Huesca
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-2 Malaga
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Segunda Division
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