Suriname have not generated many chances in this competition so far despite playing two teams who do not have nearly as much quality as the one they will be facing on Thursday.
On the other side, Haiti have struggled to keep their composure of late when leading, but they should not have as much trouble containing the attack of Natio.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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