SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Saint Lucia |
19.93% ( 1.18) | 20.96% ( 0.84) | 59.11% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.28% ( -2.13) | 38.72% ( 2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.97% ( -2.28) | 61.03% ( 2.28) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.07) | 32.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.49% ( -0.08) | 69.51% ( 0.08) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -1.23) | 12.82% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.85% ( -2.58) | 39.15% ( 2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Saint Lucia |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.74% Total : 59.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 28 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 16 |
| 11 | Brentford | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Fulham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 9 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 5 |
| 19 | Everton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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