SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.15%) and 0-3 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Martinique win it was 1-0 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Martinique | Draw | Costa Rica |
10.37% ( 0.78) | 18.49% ( 0.14) | 71.13% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( 2.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( 1.56) | 47.49% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( 1.43) | 69.7% ( -1.43) |
| Martinique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.41% ( 2.56) | 51.59% ( -2.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.26% ( 1.63) | 85.74% ( -1.63) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( 0.19) | 12.06% ( -0.19) |
