MX23RW : Sunday, June 18 16:40:39
SM
Nations League final: 2 hrs 4 mins
BN
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 25, 2023 at 2am UK
 
GN
Belize
1 - 2
Guatemala
Polanco (45+1')
Reneau (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Castellanos (30'), Santis (44')
Mejia (35'), Ardon (89'), Lopez (90+5')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Belize and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: French Guiana 1-0 Belize
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belize had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Belize win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
BelizeDrawGuatemala
18.66% (0.044 0.04) 23.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 58.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.168 0.17)50.31% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.149 0.15)72.26% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Belize Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.97% (0.147 0.15)41.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42% (0.13 0.13)77.58% (-0.131 -0.13)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.054999999999993 0.05)17.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (0.097000000000001 0.1)47.17% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belize 18.66%
    Guatemala 58.14%
    Draw 23.18%
BelizeDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.91% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.66%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 12.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 58.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: French Guiana 1-0 Belize
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 1-1 French Guiana
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 Belize
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Belize 0-3 Cuba
Sunday, March 27 at 11pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-1 Belize
Wednesday, February 2 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 4-0 Belize
Sunday, January 30 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Nicaragua
Sunday, November 20 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 2-0 Guatemala
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Guatemala
Wednesday, September 28 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 4-1 Guatemala
Sunday, September 25 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 2-0 Dominican Rep.
Tuesday, June 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
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