SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Auckland City win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Auckland City |
60.05% ( 0.03) | 22.14% ( -0.02) | 17.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( 0.05) | 47.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.05) | 69.5% ( -0.05) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0.03) | 15.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0.05) | 44.07% ( -0.05) |
| Auckland City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.02) | 40.23% ( -0.01) |
