Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
